poll

Polls measuring support for the proposed pulp mill (November 2007 to 2008)

9 November 2007 EMRS poll on voter intentions

A poll of voter intentions for the federal election in the seat of Lyons was conducted by EMRS. Question: For which candidate would you vote in the November 24 federal election? Results: 

  • Adams (ALP) 46%
  • Page (Lib) 29%
  • Cassidy (Greens) 13%
  • Quin (Independent) 8%
  • Unsure 5%

Number of voters surveyed 400
Source: Ben Quin, http://www.benquin.com.au/

 

Polls measuring support for the proposed pulp mill (October 2007)

2 October 2007 The Australian online poll
The Australian newspaper conducted a nation wide online poll about the importance of the environment. Question: What rank will "green" issues have compared to other factors (economy, health, education etc) in determining your vote? Results:

  • Top priority 36%
  • Second 20%
  • Third 14%
  • Fourth 13%
  • Unsure 1%

Number of votes, 4343
Source: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/

 
 
3 October 2007 Marketmetrics Research poll on voter preferences
The Wilderness Society commissioned Marketmetrics Research Melbourne to conduct 492 telephone interviews with people aged 18+ living in the Federal electorates of Bass and Braddon, Tasmania, from Friday 28th September to Monday 1st October 2007. Respondents were selected randomly across the electorates and within households;233 in Bass and 259 in Braddon were interviewed. The confidence interval of percentages is between 3% and 4%. Progress results:

Question 1. Based on what you know or have heard, would you say you are strongly in favour of the proposed pulp mill in Tamar Valley, somewhat in favour, somewhat against, strongly against or undecided about the proposed pulp mill?

Bass

Polls measuring support for the proposed pulp mill (September 2007)

12 September 2007 Galaxy poll on voter intentions
Investors for the Future of Tasmania commissioned Galaxy to poll attitudes of 1004 voters around Australia towards Gunns’ pulp mill.
The sample included 302 people from New South Wales, 280 from Victoria and Tasmania, 189 from Queensland, 121 South Australia and 112 Western Australia. Results:

  • Supported the mill 21%;
  • Opposed the mill 41%;
  • Undecided 38%.

On a two answer preferred basis; support = 34%, opposed = 66%.

Commentary. Of the 41% who opposed the mill, 64% said the issue would affect their vote. Of voters aged 35 years or older, 46% opposed the pulp mill. More voters opposed the pulp mill than were in favour across all states, capital cities, regional and rural areas.

Source www.news.com.au/mercury/story/0,22884,22404928-921,00.html

Polls measuring support for the proposed pulp mill (August 2007)

8 August 2007 EMRS poll on fast tracking and support for the mill

Investors for the Future of Tasmania commissioned EMRS to survey 500 people from the South, 250 from the North and 250 from North-West of Tasmania. Question 1. - do you agree with the Government's fast-track process? Results:

  • Yes 26%;
  • No 64%;
  • Unsure 10%.
  • On a two answer preferred basis; yes = 29%, no = 71%.

Question 2. Are you in favour of the current proposal to build a pulp mill in the Tamar valley? Results:

  • Yes 40%;
  • No 51%;
  • Unsure 9%.
  • On a two answer preferred basis; yes = 44%, no = 56%.

Source www.investorsfortas.com

Polls measuring support for Gunns proposed pulp mill (October 2005 to July 2007)

October 2005 West Tamar Council elector poll

West Tamar Council held a voluntary elector poll with the question - are you in favour of the proposed pulp mill? 8700 voters responded. Results:

  • Yes 44%;
  • No 56%.

Source http://www.electoral.tas.gov.au/pages/LocalGovernment/LG2005/LG2005FirstPref/LG2005_WestTamar.htm
 
 
24 April 2007 TasPoll poll on support for the mill

TasPoll was commissioned by TAP to survey 1 000 Tasmanians in the northern 63 telephone district with the question - are you in favour of the current proposal to build a pulp mill in the Tamar valley? Results:

Opinion polls measuring support for Gunns proposed pulp mill

Twenty seven opinion polls measuring support for Gunns proposed pulp mill have been conducted between October 2005 and March 2008. Only one poll, George Town and home of the proposed pulp mill showed majority support (53% to 47%). Poll results are listed in chronological order below.

George Town Council December monthly meeting

19 Dec 2007 - 12:00pm
19 Dec 2007 - 4:00pm
Etc/GMT+11

When 1pm Wednesday 19 December
Where George Town Council offices, 16 Anne St George Town.

The agenda includes the motions passed at the 27 November pulp mill public meeting and also details of the pulp mill elector poll. Unlike the 11 December council AGM, public questions period will be limited to thirty minutes.

It appears that Gunns will address the George Town Council in a closed meeting of the council the day before, on Tuesday 18 December.

Was the Voters Block successful in the federal election?

At the time of the Nov 07 federal election the Voters Block listed 15000 voters who pledged not to support any political candidate who favoured the pulp mill. Both Labor and Liberal parties supported the pulp mill whilst the Greens and several independents were strongly opposed.

Federal election results for Tasmania

In the Senate, the Greens vote reached the Senate quota barrier of 14.2% for the first time and may reach 18% or more than 50,000 as counting continues.

In the House of representatives, an average of 15.7% of Tasmanian voters (total = 50 575) supported the Greens and independents who opposed the pulp mill. Results for each electorate:

Voters Block in action for federal elections

TAP is a non-party political movement. Voters who have added their names to the Voters Block have pledged not to vote for a local state or federal candidates who support Gunns proposed pulp mill in the Tamar valley. The Voters Block has over 16 000 names and the list is growing.

For an assessment, go to Has the Voters Block been successful?.